Fundamental Analysis is the canvas and Technical Analysis is the colors  on it. Trade with the combination and you can have the beautiful  painting or shall we say a healthy bank account?:)
Market moves  because of Fundamental factors, Psychological aspects and sentiments.  For short term trading the later two i.e. psychology and sentiments play  a big role. Short term trading is not just the fundamental analysis but  the analysis of how various trading floors are thinking and behaving.  Technical indicators help us analyzing the market-mood by analyzing how  the market is moving. Technical indicators also become very important as  the traders on the big trading floors also make their trading decisions  based on the same indicators. But then when everyone is following more  or less the same technical indicators for trading decisions then  everyone should be making money? Well, the indicator would show a  different picture if you are using a 30-minute chart or a daily chart.  The skills lie in comparing different charts of different periods and  then making your analysis.
Technical indicators in Technical  Analysis help us in analyzing the following:
1) Trend of the  market: Whether there is an uptrend or downtrend or whether the market  is moving sideways or without a trend.
2) If market has a trend  then whether the trend is strong and hence offer us the opportunity to  enter the market in the direction of its movement? What it means is if  there is a uptrend which is strong then we can still buy but if there is  an uptrend but it’s getting weaker then the market direction may  reverse.
3) If the market is running sideways or in range then  at what point we should buy and at what point we should sell or  short-sell.
Technical analysis is broken into two main  categories:
a)	Chart patterns/trend lines (visual)
and
b)	Indicators (mathematical)
An over view of some  important Technical Indicators:
SAR (Stop and Reversal):
•	To  determine whether a trend is ending and/or a new trend may start.
Bollinger  Bands:
•	To measure market’s volatility.
•	To Give buying  /selling signals during non-trending /sideways market.
•	To Have an  idea when the market may enter into a trend while running sideways.
MACD:
•	To identify a new trend
Stochastic:
•	To identify  where a trend might be ending and/or a new trend may start (indicating  over bought/oversold levels)
RSI:
•	To identify whether a  trend might be ending and/or a new trend may start (over bought /over  sold levels).
•	RSI also can be used to confirm trend formations.
Moving Average:
•	To know resistance and support in sideways  market
•	To identify trend reversal
ADX:
•	To know the  strength of the trend
Fibonacci:
•	To know the probable  support and resistance levels.
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Saturday, June 12, 2010
Technical Analysis: Colors on the Canvas of Fundamental Analysis
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